The Escalating Threat of Heatwaves in Central Asia: Climate Change Impacts and Public Health Risks.

ABSTRACT: Extreme temperature events, particularly heatwaves, are intensifying due to climate change and urbanization, posing major public health challenges in Central Asia (CA), where research is limited. Despite the rising frequency and severity of heat extremes, long-term assessments of their health impacts are scarce. This study addresses this gap by analyzing historical and future heatwave trends and associated health risks using multi-ensemble climate models across 700 locations from 1959 to 2100. Bias correction improved GCMs, reducing bias and RMSE by 24% and 14%, respectively. Under SSP2-4.5, projected heatwave magnitudes (HWM) shift from 26 to 31 °C, consistent with historical moderate to severe events. Under SSP5-8.5, HWM increases to 29-36 °C. Turkmenistan is expected to experience ultra

SUBMITTER: Broomandi P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12697080 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature