Ensemble modeling uncovers climate change-driven distribution shifts of <i>Fargesia nitida</i> (Mitford) P. C. Keng ex T. P. Yi, a primary food source for giant panda.

ABSTRACT: Fargesia nitida (Mitford) P. C. Keng ex T. P. Yi is an alpine bamboo species endemic to the Hengduan Mountains (HDM). As the primary food source for giant pandas and a key component of subalpine ecosystems, it plays an irreplaceable ecological role. However, its exceptionally long flowering cycle (up to 109 years) and limited dispersal ability render it highly vulnerable to climate change impacts, while the potential shifts in its distribution under future climate scenarios remain inadequately explored. In this study, we employed ensemble modeling (Biomod2) to project the suitable habitats under current and future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) for the 2050s and 2090s, based on 78 occurrence records and seven environmental variables. Results showed that the ensemble mode

SUBMITTER: Mao L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12703786 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature