Thyroid Cancer Burden in China: 1990 to 2021 Trends and 15-Year Projections Against Global Trends.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To analyze the temporal trends and turning points of thyroid cancer burden in China from 1990 to 2021 and project future incidence and mortality to 2035.

Study design

Cross-sectional study.

Setting

Data were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database.

Methods

Temporal trends were evaluated using Joinpoint regression, and associations between cancer burden and sociodemographic indices were explored through frontier analysis. A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model was applied to project future disease burden through 2035.

Results

In 2021, China reported 48,104 new thyroid cancer cases and 7692 deaths. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and prevalence rate (ASPR) increased markedly (average annual percentage cha

SUBMITTER: Lin J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12710437 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Oct-Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature