Systematic analysis and comparison of the burden of cardiovascular diseases in China from 1990 to 2021 and its 15-year prediction with global levels.

ABSTRACT:

Background and aims

Systematic assessment of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors is crucial for prevention. We used GBD 2021 data to examine long-term trends and epidemiological features of CVDs in China and globally.

Methods and results

CVD prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs were analyzed using joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort models, decomposition, ARIMA, and BAPC. From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized mortality and DALY rates declined, but prevalence and case numbers increased, with males bearing a higher burden.

Conclusion

Rapid population aging sustains high CVD burden, highlighting the urgent need for targeted prevention and management strategies.

SUBMITTER: Gan TM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12711838 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature