Anticipating volcanic eruptions using rescaled range analysis of volcano-tectonic seismicity.

ABSTRACT: The possibility of forecasting volcanic eruptions remains a major challenge for the volcanological scientific community. To date, various techniques based on volcano-tectonic seismicity, endogenous gas emission and satellite imagery have been widely applied in an effort to understand and anticipate short-term volcanic behaviour leading to eruptions. The rescaled range analysis (R/S) applied to time series of volcano-tectonic earthquakes is a quantitative method for determining the short-term and long-term memory of seismic activity during volcanic unrest. By using the Hurst exponent, it is possible to identify the precise transition from anti-persistence to persistence in volcano-tectonic earthquake time-series (VT) associated with volcanic dike ascent. We calculated the Hurst exponent of

SUBMITTER: Raul PL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12748848 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature