Combination of the Fibrosis 4 Index and Carbohydrate Antigen 125 to Predict Morbidity and Mortality in Acute Heart Failure.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The implementation of the fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index was initially associated with hepatic dysfunction; however, this index may also provide prognostic information in heart failure (HF). Thus, this study aimed to assess whether combining the FIB-4 and carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) indices in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) can identify subgroups with differing risks of morbidity and mortality.

Methods

This retrospective study included 402 patients consecutively admitted for AHF between January 2023 and December 2024, after excluding elective admissions (n = 403), inter-hospital transfers (n = 232), and low-output cases (n = 51). Patients were stratified into four groups according to the FIB-4 score (<1.3 or high) and CA125 value (≤50 U/mL or high): Group 1 (low FIB-4 + low CA125; n = 43), Group 2 (low FIB-4 + high CA125; n = 57), Group 3 (high FIB-4 + low CA125; n = 117), and Group 4 (high FIB-4 + high CA125; n = 185). Clinical, echocardiographic, therapeutic, and laboratory variables were analyzed, as well as morbidity (HF-related emergency visits and readmissions) and all-cause mortality.

Results

Patients with both elevated FIB-4 and CA125 values had a higher prevalence of systemic/mixed congestion (p < 0.01), higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels (p < 0.01), and less frequent inspiratory inferior vena cava (IVC) collapse (p < 0.01). Although no survival differences were observed (p = 0.29), morbidity was significantly higher in group 4: more worsening episodes per patient (p = 0.0001), increased HF readmissions (p = 0.004), and more emergency visits (p = 0.001). The FIB-4 index correlated positively with worsening episodes (p < 0.0001), and the CA125 value showed a trend with mortality. No significant correlation was found between FIB-4 and CA125 or between FIB-4 and mortality (p > 0.1).

Conclusions

The FIB-4 index may be a useful indicator in AHF. Elevated values at admission for decompensation, in combination with high CA125 levels, can be used to identify a subgroup of patients with poor short- to medium-term outcomes, particularly in terms of worsening. Further studies are needed to determine the actual utility of the FIB-4 index in the context of AHF.

SUBMITTER: Appiani F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12780997 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature