Predicting the spatio-temporal risk of human tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) in Europe by combining hazard and exposure drivers.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE), caused by tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), is a zoonotic disease that can lead to severe neurological symptoms. Given the increasing number of reported human TBE cases in Europe, we developed a spatio-temporal predictive model to infer the year-to-year probability of human TBE occurrence across Europe at the regional and municipal administrative levels.

Methods

We derived the distribution of human TBE cases at the regional level during 2017-2022 by using data provided by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), and at the municipal level by using data provided by Austria, Finland, Italy, Lithuania, and Slovakia. We modeled the probability of presence of human TBE cases at the regional and municipal levels f

SUBMITTER: Dagostin F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12828832 | biostudies-literature | 2026 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature