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A Cross-Ethnicity Validated Machine Learning Model for the Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease in Individuals over 50 Years Old.


ABSTRACT: Background/Objectives: Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is a global public health burden with a rising prevalence driven by population aging. Existing prediction models, such as the Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE), often lack generalizability across ethnicities and comprehensive systemic indicators. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model for predicting CKD progression by integrating traditional risk factors with novel composite indicators reflecting systemic health. Methods: Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS, n = 2500) was used for model training. External validation was performed using independent cohorts from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA, n = 1200) and the Health and Retirement Stu

SUBMITTER: Wang L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12841880 | biostudies-literature | 2026 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature