Impact of Fiscal Policy for Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Reducing the Burden of Disease and Healthcare Costs in Brazil: A Simulation Study.

ABSTRACT: Background/Objectives: Sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) consumption has been linked to obesity, metabolic diseases, and rising healthcare costs. This study aimed to assess the impact of a 20% excise tax on SSBs in Brazil on obesity/overweight prevalence, seven musculoskeletal and cardiovascular diseases, and related healthcare costs, with their associated impacts on health inequalities. Methods: Using 2017/2018 Brazilian Household Budget Survey data for baseline consumption and own- and cross-price elasticities for taxed beverages, we estimated changes in caloric consumption for the entire population and for lower- and upper-income quartiles. The PRIMEtime dynamic individual-level simulation model projected body weight changes, lifetime Quality-Adjusted Life-Years (QALYs), heal

SUBMITTER: Nucci LB 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12899526 | biostudies-literature | 2026 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature