US campaign to save 100,000 lives exceeds its target.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Tanne JH
PROVIDER: S-EPMC1482364 | biostudies-literature | 2006 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
US campaign to save 100,000 lives exceeds its target.
BMJ (Clinical research ed.) 20060601 7556
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Project description:ObjectivesThe aim of the study was to assess the impact of social distancing interventions in Greece and to examine what would have happened if those interventions had not been implemented.Study designA dynamic, discrete time, stochastic individual-based model was developed to simulate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission.MethodsThe model was fitted to the observed trends in COVID-19 deaths and intensive care unit (ICU) bed use in Greece.ResultsIf Greece had not implemented social distancing interventions, the healthcare system would have been overwhelmed between March 30 and April 4. The combined social distancing interventions and increase in ICU beds averted 4360 (95% credible interval: 3050, 5700) deaths and prevented the healthcare system from becoming overwhelmed.ConclusionsThe quick and accurate interventions of the Greek government limited the burden of the COVID-19 outbreak.
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