Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD.

ABSTRACT: Key risks associated with projected climate trends for the 21st century include the prospects of future climate states with no current analog and the disappearance of some extant climates. Because climate is a primary control on species distributions and ecosystem processes, novel 21st-century climates may promote formation of novel species associations and other ecological surprises, whereas the disappearance of some extant climates increases risk of extinction for species with narrow geographic or climatic distributions and disruption of existing communities. Here we analyze multimodel ensembles for the A2 and B1 emission scenarios produced for the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, with the goal of identifying regions projected to experience (i) h

SUBMITTER: Williams JW 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC1851561 | biostudies-literature | 2007 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature