Improved plausibility bounds about the 2005 HIV and AIDS estimates.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Since 1998 the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS and the World Health Organization has provided estimates on the magnitude of the HIV epidemic for individual countries. Starting with the 2003 estimates, plausibility bounds about the estimates were also reported. The bounds are intended to serve as a guide as to what reasonable or plausible ranges are for the uncertainty in HIV incidence, prevalence, and mortality.

Methods

Plausibility bounds were developed for three situations: for countries with generalised epidemics, for countries with low level or concentrated epidemics (LLC), and for regions. The techniques used build on those developed for the previous reporting round. However the current bounds are based on the available surveillance and survey data

SUBMITTER: Morgan M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2576724 | biostudies-literature | 2006 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature