Age groups and spread of influenza: implications for vaccination strategy.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The unpredictable nature of the potentially devastating impact of 2009 pH1N1 influenza pandemic highlights the need for pandemic preparedness planning, where modeling studies could be most useful for simulations of possible future scenarios.

Methods

A compartmental model with pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic influenza infections is proposed which incorporates age groups as well as intervention measures such as age-specific vaccination, in order to study spread of influenza in a community.

Results

We derive the basic reproduction number and other effective reproduction numbers under various intervention measures. For illustration, we make use of the Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I) mortality data and vaccination data of the very young (age 0-2) and the very old

SUBMITTER: Hsieh YH 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC2876165 | biostudies-literature | 2010 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature