Dataset Information

Risks and benefits of preexposure and postexposure smallpox vaccination.

ABSTRACT: This article presents a model and decision criteria for evaluating a person's risk of pre- or postexposure smallpox vaccination in light of serious vaccine-related adverse events (death, postvaccine encephalitis and progressive vaccinia). Even at a 1-in-10 risk of 1,000 initial smallpox cases, a person in a population of 280 million has a greater risk for serious vaccine-related adverse events than a risk for smallpox. For a healthcare worker to accept preexposure vaccination, the risk for contact with an infectious smallpox case-patient must be >1 in 100, and the probability of 1,000 initial cases must be >1 in 1,000. A member of an investigation team would accept preexposure vaccination if his or her anticipated risk of contact is 1 in 2.5 and the risk of attack is assumed to be >1 in 16,000. The only circumstances in which postexposure vaccination would not be accepted are the following: if vaccine efficacy were <1%, the risk of transmission were <1%, and (simultaneously) the risk for serious vaccine-related adverse events were >1 in 5,000.

SUBMITTER: Meltzer MI

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3035543 | biostudies-literature | 2003 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Risks and benefits of preexposure and postexposure smallpox vaccination.

Meltzer Martin I MI

Emerging infectious diseases 20031101 11

This article presents a model and decision criteria for evaluating a person's risk of pre- or postexposure smallpox vaccination in light of serious vaccine-related adverse events (death, postvaccine encephalitis and progressive vaccinia). Even at a 1-in-10 risk of 1,000 initial smallpox cases, a person in a population of 280 million has a greater risk for serious vaccine-related adverse events than a risk for smallpox. For a healthcare worker to accept preexposure vaccination, the risk for conta ...[more]

PMID: 14718077

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Project description:ImportanceDoxycycline postexposure prophylaxis (doxyPEP) has been shown to decrease the incidence of bacterial sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among people assigned male sex at birth in clinical trials, but data from clinical practice are limited.ObjectiveTo describe early uptake of doxyPEP and evaluate changes in STI incidence following doxyPEP initiation.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective cohort study of adults (aged ≥18 years) dispensed HIV preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) at Kaiser Permanente Northern California during November 1, 2022, to December 31, 2023, examined electronic health record data to compare HIV PrEP users dispensed and not dispensed doxyPEP and rates of bacterial STIs before and after starting doxyPEP. Individuals were followed up from their first recorded STI test on or after November 1, 2020, until December 31, 2023, or discontinuation of health plan membership.ExposurePharmacy dispensing data were used to define doxyPEP recipients.Main outcomes and measuresDemographic and clinical characteristics were compared between individuals dispensed and not dispensed doxyPEP. Primary outcomes were incident chlamydia, gonorrhea, or infectious syphilis measured as quarterly STI positivity (proportion of individuals testing positive at least once per quarter). Among doxyPEP recipients, rate ratios (RRs) compared mean quarterly STI positivity from 24 months before to 12 months after starting doxyPEP. In an exploratory analysis, STI trends were evaluated for the full cohort, stratified by receipt of doxyPEP.ResultsAmong 11 551 HIV PrEP users (mean [SD] age, 39.9 [12.1] years; 95.1% male), 2253 (19.5%) were dispensed doxyPEP, of whom 2228 (98.9%) were male and 1096 (48.6%) had an STI in the year before starting doxyPEP. Compared with individuals not dispensed doxyPEP, doxyPEP recipients were older (mean [SD] age, 40.4 [10.8] vs 39.8 [12.4] years; P = .04) and had used HIV PrEP longer (mean [SD], 4.2 [2.8] vs 3.4 [2.6] years; P < .001), and a higher proportion were commercially insured (2091 [92.8%] vs 8270 [88.9%]; P < .001). Among doxyPEP recipients, quarterly chlamydia positivity decreased from 9.6% (95% CI, 9.0%-10.3%) before starting doxyPEP to 2.0% (95% CI, 1.5%-2.6%) after starting doxyPEP (RR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.16-0.27; P < .001), with significant declines for each anatomic site of infection. Quarterly gonorrhea positivity decreased from 10.2% (95% CI, 9.6%-10.9%) before starting doxyPEP to 9.0% (95% CI, 8.0%-10.1%) after starting doxyPEP (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77-1.00; P = .048); site-specific declines were significant for rectal (RR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.97; P = .02) and urethral (RR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.40-0.79; P = .001) gonorrhea, but not pharyngeal gonorrhea. Quarterly syphilis positivity decreased from 1.7% (95% CI, 1.4%-1.9%) before starting doxyPEP to 0.3% (95% CI, 0.2%-0.6%) after starting doxyPEP (RR, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.11-0.37; P < .001). Positivity for STIs remained stable in individuals not dispensed doxyPEP.Conclusions and relevanceThis study found that receipt of doxyPEP was associated with substantial declines in chlamydia and syphilis incidence and modest declines in urethral and rectal gonorrhea incidence among individuals using HIV PrEP. These findings suggest that doxyPEP may offer substantial benefits for reducing population-level STI transmission with broader implementation.

Dataset Information

Risks and benefits of preexposure and postexposure smallpox vaccination.

Publications

Risks and benefits of preexposure and postexposure smallpox vaccination.

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