Modeling human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of infectious diseases.

ABSTRACT: Current modeling of infectious diseases allows for the study of realistic scenarios that include population heterogeneity, social structures, and mobility processes down to the individual level. The advances in the realism of epidemic description call for the explicit modeling of individual behavioral responses to the presence of disease within modeling frameworks. Here we formulate and analyze a metapopulation model that incorporates several scenarios of self-initiated behavioral changes into the mobility patterns of individuals. We find that prevalence-based travel limitations do not alter the epidemic invasion threshold. Strikingly, we observe in both synthetic and data-driven numerical simulations that when travelers decide to avoid locations with high levels of prevalence, this self-i

SUBMITTER: Meloni S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3216549 | biostudies-literature | 2011

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature