The potential spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus via dynamic contacts between poultry premises in Great Britain.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) viruses have had devastating effects on poultry industries worldwide, and there is concern about the potential for HPAI outbreaks in the poultry industry in Great Britain (GB). Critical to the potential for HPAI to spread between poultry premises are the connections made between farms by movements related to human activity. Movement records of catching teams and slaughterhouse vehicles were obtained from a large catching company, and these data were used in a simulation model of HPAI spread between farms serviced by the catching company, and surrounding (geographic) areas. The spread of HPAI through real-time movements was modelled, with the addition of spread via company personnel and local transmission.

Results

The model

SUBMITTER: Dent JE 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3224601 | biostudies-literature | 2011 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature