A patient-centered methodology that improves the accuracy of prognostic predictions in cancer.

ABSTRACT: Individualized approaches to prognosis are crucial to effective management of cancer patients. We developed a methodology to assign individualized 5-year disease-specific death probabilities to 1,222 patients with melanoma and to 1,225 patients with breast cancer. For each cancer, three risk subgroups were identified by stratifying patients according to initial stage, and prediction probabilities were generated based on the factors most closely related to 5-year disease-specific death. Separate subgroup probabilities were merged to form a single composite index, and its predictive efficacy was assessed by several measures, including the area (AUC) under its receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The patient-centered methodology achieved an AUC of 0.867 in the prediction of 5-year d

SUBMITTER: Kashani-Sabet M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3584071 | biostudies-literature | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature