Forecasting deforestation and carbon emissions in tropical developing countries facing demographic expansion: a case study in Madagascar.

ABSTRACT: Anthropogenic deforestation in tropical countries is responsible for a significant part of global carbon dioxide emissions in the atmosphere. To plan efficient climate change mitigation programs (such as REDD+, Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation), reliable forecasts of deforestation and carbon dioxide emissions are necessary. Although population density has been recognized as a key factor in tropical deforestation, current methods of prediction do not allow the population explosion that is occurring in many tropical developing countries to be taken into account. Here, we propose an innovative approach using novel computational and statistical tools, including R/GRASS scripts and the new phcfM R package, to model the intensity and location of deforestation includin

SUBMITTER: Vieilledent G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3686203 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature