Surveillance guidelines for disease elimination: a case study of canine rabies.

ABSTRACT: Surveillance is a critical component of disease control programmes but is often poorly resourced, particularly in developing countries lacking good infrastructure and especially for zoonoses which require combined veterinary and medical capacity and collaboration. Here we examine how successful control, and ultimately disease elimination, depends on effective surveillance. We estimated that detection probabilities of <0.1 are broadly typical of rabies surveillance in endemic countries and areas without a history of rabies. Using outbreak simulation techniques we investigated how the probability of detection affects outbreak spread, and outcomes of response strategies such as time to control an outbreak, probability of elimination, and the certainty of declaring freedom from disease. Assumi

SUBMITTER: Townsend SE 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3693035 | biostudies-literature | 2013 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature