Projected impacts of climate change on environmental suitability for malaria transmission in West Africa.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Climate change is expected to affect the distribution of environmental suitability for malaria transmission by altering temperature and rainfall patterns; however, the local and global impacts of climate change on malaria transmission are uncertain.

Objective

We assessed the effect of climate change on malaria transmission in West Africa.

Methods

We coupled a detailed mechanistic hydrology and entomology model with climate projections from general circulation models (GCMs) to predict changes in vectorial capacity, an indication of the risk of human malaria infections, resulting from changes in the availability of mosquito breeding sites and temperature-dependent development rates. Because there is strong disagreement in climate predictions from different GC

SUBMITTER: Yamana TK 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3801455 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature