Operationalising factors that explain the emergence of infectious diseases: a case study of the human campylobacteriosis epidemic.

ABSTRACT: A framework of general factors for infectious disease emergence was made operational for Campylobacter utilising explanatory variables including time series and risk factor data. These variables were generated using a combination of empirical epidemiology, case-case and case-control studies, time series analysis, and microbial sub-typing (source attribution, diversity, genetic distance) to unravel the changing/emerging aetiology of human campylobacteriosis. The study focused on Scotland between 1990-2012 where there was a 75% increase in reported cases that included >300% increase in the elderly and 50% decrease in young children. During this period there were three phases 1990-2000 a 75% rise and a 20% fall to 2006, followed by a 19% resurgence. The rise coincided with expansions in the p

SUBMITTER: Strachan NJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3836786 | biostudies-literature | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature