Climate variability, weather and enteric disease incidence in New Zealand: time series analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Evaluating the influence of climate variability on enteric disease incidence may improve our ability to predict how climate change may affect these diseases.

Objectives

To examine the associations between regional climate variability and enteric disease incidence in New Zealand.

Methods

Associations between monthly climate and enteric diseases (campylobacteriosis, salmonellosis, cryptosporidiosis, giardiasis) were investigated using Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models.

Results

No climatic factors were significantly associated with campylobacteriosis and giardiasis, with similar predictive power for univariate and multivariate models. Cryptosporidiosis was positively associated with average temperature of the previous mo

SUBMITTER: Lal A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3871872 | biostudies-literature | 2013

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature