Estimation of the HIV basic reproduction number in rural south west Uganda: 1991-2008.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The basic reproduction number, [Formula: see text], is one of the many measures of the epidemic potential of an infection in a population. We estimate HIV [Formula: see text] over 18 years in a rural population in Uganda, examine method-specific differences in estimated [Formula: see text], and estimate behavioural changes that would reduce [Formula: see text] below one.

Methods

Data on HIV natural history and infectiousness were collated from literature. Data on new sexual partner count were available from a rural clinical cohort in Uganda over 1991-2008. [Formula: see text] was estimated using six methods. Behavioural changes required to reduce [Formula: see text] below one were calculated.

Results

Reported number of new partners per year was 0 to 16 (wom

SUBMITTER: Nsubuga RN 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3880255 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature