Effect of the one-child policy on influenza transmission in China: a stochastic transmission model.

ABSTRACT:

Background

China's one-child-per-couple policy, introduced in 1979, led to profound demographic changes for nearly a quarter of the world's population. Several decades later, the consequences include decreased fertility rates, population aging, decreased household sizes, changes in family structure, and imbalanced sex ratios. The epidemiology of communicable diseases may have been affected by these changes since the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases depend on demographic characteristics of the population. Of particular interest is influenza because China and Southeast Asia lie at the center of a global transmission network of influenza. Moreover, changes in household structure may affect influenza transmission. Is it possible that the pronounced demographic changes that

SUBMITTER: Liu F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3916292 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature