A Statistical Modeling Framework for Projecting Future Ambient Ozone and its Health Impact due to Climate Change.

ABSTRACT: The adverse health effects of ambient ozone are well established. Given the high sensitivity of ambient ozone concentrations to meteorological conditions, the impacts of future climate change on ozone concentrations and its associated health effects are of concern. We describe a statistical modeling framework for projecting future ozone levels and its health impacts under a changing climate. This is motivated by the continual effort to evaluate projection uncertainties to inform public health risk assessment. The proposed approach was applied to the 20-county Atlanta metropolitan area using regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program. Future ozone levels and ozone-related excesses in asthma emergency department (ED) visits wer

SUBMITTER: Chang HH 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3994127 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature