Modeling to predict cases of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Chile.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) is a life threatening disease transmitted by the rodent Oligoryzomys longicaudatus in Chile. Hantavirus outbreaks are typically small and geographically confined. Several studies have estimated risk based on spatial and temporal distribution of cases in relation to climate and environmental variables, but few have considered climatological modeling of HPS incidence for monitoring and forecasting purposes.

Methodology

Monthly counts of confirmed HPS cases were obtained from the Chilean Ministry of Health for 2001-2012. There were an estimated 667 confirmed HPS cases. The data suggested a seasonal trend, which appeared to correlate with changes in climatological variables such as temperature, precipitation, and humidity. We consid

SUBMITTER: Nsoesie EO 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3998931 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature