Modeling age-specific mortality for countries with generalized HIV epidemics.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In a given population the age pattern of mortality is an important determinant of total number of deaths, age structure, and through effects on age structure, the number of births and thereby growth. Good mortality models exist for most populations except those experiencing generalized HIV epidemics and some developing country populations. The large number of deaths concentrated at very young and adult ages in HIV-affected populations produce a unique 'humped' age pattern of mortality that is not reproduced by any existing mortality models. Both burden of disease reporting and population projection methods require age-specific mortality rates to estimate numbers of deaths and produce plausible age structures. For countries with generalized HIV epidemics these estimates s

SUBMITTER: Sharrow DJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4031074 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature