Predicting local dengue transmission in Guangzhou, China, through the influence of imported cases, mosquito density and climate variability.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Each year there are approximately 390 million dengue infections worldwide. Weather variables have a significant impact on the transmission of Dengue Fever (DF), a mosquito borne viral disease. DF in mainland China is characterized as an imported disease. Hence it is necessary to explore the roles of imported cases, mosquito density and climate variability in dengue transmission in China. The study was to identify the relationship between dengue occurrence and possible risk factors and to develop a predicting model for dengue's control and prevention purpose.

Methodology and principal findings

Three traditional suburbs and one district with an international airport in Guangzhou city were selected as the study areas. Autocorrelation and cross-correlation analysis

SUBMITTER: Sang S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4097061 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature