A mathematical model to predict the risk of hepatitis B infection through needle/syringe sharing in mass vaccination.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The Japanese Government settled a class litigation case with hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers who claim to have been infected through needle/syringe sharing in childhood mass vaccination with a blanket compensation agreement. However, it is difficult to estimate how many of the present HBV carriers were infected horizontally from mass vaccination and how many were infected vertically from mothers.

Methods

A mathematical model to predict the risk of infection through needle/syringe sharing in mass vaccination was proposed and a formula was developed. The formula was presented in a logarithmic graph enabling users to estimate how many people will be infected if a needle/syringe is shared by how many people for how many times under certain probability of infection. T

SUBMITTER: Okamoto E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4177201 | biostudies-literature | 2013 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature