Plant trait-based models identify direct and indirect effects of climate change on bundles of grassland ecosystem services.

ABSTRACT: Land use and climate change are primary causes of changes in the supply of ecosystem services (ESs). Although the consequences of climate change on ecosystem properties and associated services are well documented, the cascading impacts of climate change on ESs through changes in land use are largely overlooked. We present a trait-based framework based on an empirical model to elucidate how climate change affects tradeoffs among ESs. Using alternative scenarios for mountain grasslands, we predicted how direct effects of climate change on ecosystems and indirect effects through farmers' adaptations are likely to affect ES bundles through changes in plant functional properties. ES supply was overall more sensitive to climate than to induced management change, and ES bundles remained stable ac

SUBMITTER: Lamarque P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4183316 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature