Projection scenarios of body mass index (2013-2030) for Public Health Planning in Quebec.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Projection analyses can provide estimates of the future health burden of increasing BMI and represent a relevant and useful tool for public health planning. Our study presents long-term (2013-2030) projections of the prevalence and numbers of individuals by BMI category for adult men and women in Quebec. Three applications of projections to estimate outcomes more directly pertinent to public health planning, as well as an in-depth discussion of limits, are provided with the aim of encouraging greater use of projection analyses by public health officers.

Methods

The weighted compositional regression method is applied to prevalence time series derived from sixteen cross-sectional survey cycles, for scenarios of linear change and deceleration. Estimation of the compo

SUBMITTER: Lo E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4196088 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature