Quantification of biophysical adaptation benefits from Climate-Smart Agriculture using a Bayesian Belief Network.

ABSTRACT: The need for smallholder farmers to adapt their practices to a changing climate is well recognised, particularly in Africa. The cost of adapting to climate change in Africa is estimated to be $20 to $30 billion per year, but the total amount pledged to finance adaptation falls significantly short of this requirement. The difficulty of assessing and monitoring when adaptation is achieved is one of the key barriers to the disbursement of performance-based adaptation finance. To demonstrate the potential of Bayesian Belief Networks for describing the impacts of specific activities on climate change resilience, we developed a simple model that incorporates climate projections, local environmental data, information from peer-reviewed literature and expert opinion to account for the adaptation b

SUBMITTER: de Nijs PJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4202202 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature