Prediction and control of brucellosis transmission of dairy cattle in Zhejiang Province, China.

ABSTRACT: Brucellosis is a bacterial disease caused by brucella; mainly spread by direct contact transmission through the brucella carriers, or indirect contact transmission by the environment containing large quantities of bacteria discharged by the infected individuals. At the beginning of 21st century, the epidemic among dairy cows in Zhejiang province, began to come back and has become a localized prevalent epidemic. Combining the pathology of brucellosis, the reported positive data characteristics, and the feeding method in Zhejiang province, this paper establishes an SEIV dynamic model to excavate the internal transmission dynamics, fit the real disease situation, predict brucellosis tendency and assess control measures in dairy cows. By careful analysis, we give some quantitative results as f

SUBMITTER: Zhang J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4227660 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature