Improving the use of species distribution models in conservation planning and management under climate change.

ABSTRACT: Choice of variables, climate models and emissions scenarios all influence the results of species distribution models under future climatic conditions. However, an overview of applied studies suggests that the uncertainty associated with these factors is not always appropriately incorporated or even considered. We examine the effects of choice of variables, climate models and emissions scenarios can have on future species distribution models using two endangered species: one a short-lived invertebrate species (Ptunarra Brown Butterfly), and the other a long-lived paleo-endemic tree species (King Billy Pine). We show the range in projected distributions that result from different variable selection, climate models and emissions scenarios. The extent to which results are affected by these cho

SUBMITTER: Porfirio LL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4242662 | biostudies-literature | 2014

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature