Dynamics and control of Ebola virus transmission in Montserrado, Liberia: a mathematical modelling analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

A substantial scale-up in public health response is needed to control the unprecedented Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic in west Africa. Current international commitments seek to expand intervention capacity in three areas: new EVD treatment centres, case ascertainment through contact tracing, and household protective kit allocation. We aimed to assess how these interventions could be applied individually and in combination to avert future EVD cases and deaths.

Methods

We developed a transmission model of Ebola virus that we fitted to reported EVD cases and deaths in Montserrado County, Liberia. We used this model to assess the effectiveness of expanding EVD treatment centres, increasing case ascertainment, and allocating protective kits for controlling the outb

SUBMITTER: Lewnard JA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4316822 | biostudies-literature | 2014 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature