A cardiovascular disease policy model that predicts life expectancy taking into account socioeconomic deprivation.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

A policy model is a model that can evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interventions and inform policy decisions. In this study, we introduce a cardiovascular disease (CVD) policy model which can be used to model remaining life expectancy including a measure of socioeconomic deprivation as an independent risk factor for CVD.

Design

A state transition model was developed using the Scottish Heart Health Extended Cohort (SHHEC) linked to Scottish morbidity and death records. Individuals start in a CVD-free state and can transit to three CVD event states plus a non-CVD death state. Individuals who have a non-fatal first event are then followed up until death. Taking a competing risk approach, the cause-specific hazards of a first event are modelled us

SUBMITTER: Lewsey JD 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4316925 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature