Projection of young-old and old-old with functional disability: does accounting for the changing educational composition of the elderly population make a difference?

ABSTRACT: This study compares projections, up to year 2040, of young-old (aged 60-79) and old-old (aged 80+) with functional disability in Singapore with and without accounting for the changing educational composition of the Singaporean elderly. Two multi-state population models, with and without accounting for educational composition respectively, were developed, parameterized with age-gender-(education)-specific transition probabilities (between active, functional disability and death states) estimated from two waves (2009 and 2011) of a nationally representative survey of community-dwelling Singaporeans aged ≥ 60 years (N=4,990). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis with the bootstrap method was used to obtain the 95% confidence interval of the transition probabilities. Not accounting for education

SUBMITTER: Ansah JP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4431717 | biostudies-literature | 2015

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature