Modelling Anopheles gambiae s.s. Population Dynamics with Temperature- and Age-Dependent Survival.

ABSTRACT: Climate change and global warming are emerging as important threats to human health, particularly through the potential increase in vector- and water-borne diseases. Environmental variables are known to affect substantially the population dynamics and abundance of the poikilothermic vectors of disease, but the exact extent of this sensitivity is not well established. Focusing on malaria and its main vector in Africa, Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto, we present a set of novel mathematical models of climate-driven mosquito population dynamics motivated by experimental data suggesting that in An. gambiae, mortality is temperature and age dependent. We compared the performance of these models to that of a "standard" model ignoring age dependence. We used a longitudinal dataset of vector abunda

SUBMITTER: Christiansen-Jucht C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4483682 | biostudies-literature | 2015 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature