Increasing Dengue Incidence in Singapore over the Past 40 Years: Population Growth, Climate and Mobility.

ABSTRACT: In Singapore, the frequency and magnitude of dengue epidemics have increased significantly over the past 40 years. It is important to understand the main drivers for the rapid increase in dengue incidence. We studied the relative contributions of putative drivers for the rise of dengue in Singapore: population growth, climate parameters and international air passenger arrivals from dengue endemic countries, for the time period of 1974 until 2011. We used multivariable Poisson regression models with the following predictors: Annual Population Size; Aedes Premises Index; Mean Annual Temperature; Minimum and Maximum Temperature Recorded in each year; Annual Precipitation and Annual Number of Air Passengers arriving from dengue-endemic South-East Asia to Singapore. The relative risk (RR) of th

SUBMITTER: Struchiner CJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4554991 | biostudies-literature | 2015

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature