Biotic and Climatic Velocity Identify Contrasting Areas of Vulnerability to Climate Change.

ABSTRACT: Metrics that synthesize the complex effects of climate change are essential tools for mapping future threats to biodiversity and predicting which species are likely to adapt in place to new climatic conditions, disperse and establish in areas with newly suitable climate, or face the prospect of extirpation. The most commonly used of such metrics is the velocity of climate change, which estimates the speed at which species must migrate over the earth's surface to maintain constant climatic conditions. However, "analog-based" velocities, which represent the actual distance to where analogous climates will be found in the future, may provide contrasting results to the more common form of velocity based on local climate gradients. Additionally, whereas climatic velocity reflects the exposure o

SUBMITTER: Carroll C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4605713 | biostudies-literature | 2015

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature