Modeling the Offensive-Defensive Interaction and Resulting Outcomes in Basketball.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

We analyzed the interaction between offensive (i.e. space creation dynamics--SCDs) and defensive (i.e. space protection dynamics--SPDs) actions in six play outcomes (free shot, contested shot, new SCD, reset, foul, and turnover) in Spanish professional basketball games.

Method

Data consisted of 1548 SCD-SPD-outcome triples obtained from six play-off games. We used Bayesian methods to compute marginal probabilities of six outcomes following five different SCDs. We also computed probabilities of the six outcomes following the 16 most frequent SCD-SPD combinations.

Results

The pick action (e.g. pick and roll, pop and pop) was the most prevalent SCD (33%). However, this SCD did not produce the highest probability of a free shot (0.235). The highest probability of

SUBMITTER: Lamas L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4684251 | biostudies-literature | 2015

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature