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ABSTRACT: Background
Prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) is estimated based on clinicopathological models. Stratifying patients based on tumor biology may have additional value.Methods
Tissue micro-arrays (TMAs), containing resected CRCLM and corresponding primary tumors from a multi-institutional cohort of 507 patients, were immunohistochemically stained for 18 candidate biomarkers. Cross-validated hazard rate ratios (HRRs) for overall survival (OS) and the proportion of HRRs with opposite effect (P(HRR < 1) or P(HRR > 1)) were calculated. A classifier was constructed by classification and regression tree (CART) analysis and its prognostic value determined by permutation analysis. Correlations between protein expression in primary tumor-CRCLM pairs were calculated.Results
Based on their putative prognostic value, EGFR (P(HRR < 1) = .02), AURKA (P(HRR < 1) = .02), VEGFA (P(HRR < 1) = .02), PTGS2 (P(HRR < 1) = .01), SLC2A1 (P(HRR > 1) < 01), HIF1α (P(HRR > 1) = .06), KCNQ1 (P(HRR > 1) = .09), CEA (P (HRR > 1) = .05) and MMP9 (P(HRR < 1) = .07) were included in the CART analysis (n = 201). The resulting classifier was based on AURKA, PTGS2 and MMP9 expression and was associated with OS (HRR 2.79, p < .001), also after multivariate analysis (HRR 3.57, p < .001). The prognostic value of the biomarker-based classifier was superior to the clinicopathological model (p = .001). Prognostic value was highest for colon cancer patients (HRR 5.71, p < .001) and patients not treated with systemic therapy (HRR 3.48, p < .01). Classification based on protein expression in primary tumors could be based on AURKA expression only (HRR 2.59, p = .04).Conclusion
A classifier was generated for patients with CRCLM with improved prognostic value compared to the standard clinicopathological prognostic parameters, which may aid selection of patients who may benefit from adjuvant systemic therapy.
SUBMITTER: Goos JA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC4811521 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jan
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Goos Jeroen A C M JA Coupé Veerle M H VM van de Wiel Mark A MA Diosdado Begoña B Delis-Van Diemen Pien M PM Hiemstra Annemieke C AC de Cuba Erienne M V EM Beliën Jeroen A M JA Menke-van der Houven van Oordt C Willemien CW Geldof Albert A AA Meijer Gerrit A GA Hoekstra Otto S OS Fijneman Remond J A RJ
Oncotarget 20160101 2
<h4>Background</h4>Prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) is estimated based on clinicopathological models. Stratifying patients based on tumor biology may have additional value.<h4>Methods</h4>Tissue micro-arrays (TMAs), containing resected CRCLM and corresponding primary tumors from a multi-institutional cohort of 507 patients, were immunohistochemically stained for 18 candidate biomarkers. Cross-validated hazard rate ratios (HRRs) for overall survival (OS) and t ...[more]