Global access to surgical care: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

More than 2 billion people are unable to receive surgical care based on operating theatre density alone. The vision of the Lancet Commission on Global Surgery is universal access to safe, affordable surgical and anaesthesia care when needed. We aimed to estimate the number of individuals worldwide without access to surgical services as defined by the Commission's vision.

Methods

We modelled access to surgical services in 196 countries with respect to four dimensions: timeliness, surgical capacity, safety, and affordability. We built a chance tree for each country to model the probability of surgical access with respect to each dimension, and from this we constructed a statistical model to estimate the proportion of the population in each country that does not have

SUBMITTER: Alkire BC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4820251 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature