Experiments with Seasonal Forecasts of ocean conditions for the Northern region of the California Current upwelling system.

ABSTRACT: Resource managers at the state, federal, and tribal levels make decisions on a weekly to quarterly basis, and fishers operate on a similar timeframe. To determine the potential of a support tool for these efforts, a seasonal forecast system is experimented with here. JISAO's Seasonal Coastal Ocean Prediction of the Ecosystem (J-SCOPE) features dynamical downscaling of regional ocean conditions in Washington and Oregon waters using a combination of a high-resolution regional model with biogeochemistry and forecasts from NOAA's Climate Forecast System (CFS). Model performance and predictability were examined for sea surface temperature (SST), bottom temperature, bottom oxygen, pH, and aragonite saturation state through model hindcasts, reforecast, and forecast comparisons with observations.

SUBMITTER: Siedlecki SA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4895184 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature