Advances in mapping malaria for elimination: fine resolution modelling of Plasmodium falciparum incidence.

ABSTRACT: The long-term goal of the global effort to tackle malaria is national and regional elimination and eventually eradication. Fine scale multi-temporal mapping in low malaria transmission settings remains a challenge and the World Health Organisation propose use of surveillance in elimination settings. Here, we show how malaria incidence can be modelled at a fine spatial and temporal resolution from health facility data to help focus surveillance and control to population not attending health facilities. Using Namibia as a case study, we predicted the incidence of malaria, via a Bayesian spatio-temporal model, at a fine spatial resolution from parasitologically confirmed malaria cases and incorporated metrics on healthcare use as well as measures of uncertainty associated with incidence predi

SUBMITTER: Alegana VA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4942778 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature