Model-Informed Risk Assessment and Decision Making for an Emerging Infectious Disease in the Asia-Pacific Region.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Effective response to emerging infectious disease (EID) threats relies on health care systems that can detect and contain localised outbreaks before they reach a national or international scale. The Asia-Pacific region contains low and middle income countries in which the risk of EID outbreaks is elevated and whose health care systems may require international support to effectively detect and respond to such events. The absence of comprehensive data on populations, health care systems and disease characteristics in this region makes risk assessment and decisions about the provision of such support challenging.

Methodology/principal findings

We describe a mathematical modelling framework that can inform this process by integrating available data sources, systemati

SUBMITTER: Moss R 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5035030 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature