Estimating transmission probability in schools for the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Italy.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Epidemic models are being extensively used to understand the main pathways of spread of infectious diseases, and thus to assess control methods. Schools are well known to represent hot spots for epidemic spread; hence, understanding typical patterns of infection transmission within schools is crucial for designing adequate control strategies. The attention that was given to the 2009 A/H1N1pdm09 flu pandemic has made it possible to collect detailed data on the occurrence of influenza-like illness (ILI) symptoms in two primary schools of Trento, Italy.

Results

The data collected in the two schools were used to calibrate a discrete-time SIR model, which was designed to estimate the probabilities of influenza transmission within the classes, grades and schools using M

SUBMITTER: Clamer V 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5059896 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature