A New Time-varying Concept of Risk in a Changing Climate.

ABSTRACT: In a changing climate arising from anthropogenic global warming, the nature of extreme climatic events is changing over time. Existing analytical stationary-based risk methods, however, assume multi-dimensional extreme climate phenomena will not significantly vary over time. To strengthen the reliability of infrastructure designs and the management of water systems in the changing environment, multidimensional stationary risk studies should be replaced with a new adaptive perspective. The results of a comparison indicate that current multi-dimensional stationary risk frameworks are no longer applicable to projecting the changing behaviour of multi-dimensional extreme climate processes. Using static stationary-based multivariate risk methods may lead to undesirable consequences in designing

SUBMITTER: Sarhadi A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5071900 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature