Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Native Plant Distributions in the Falkland Islands.

ABSTRACT: The Falkland Islands are predicted to experience up to 2.2°C rise in mean annual temperature over the coming century, greater than four times the rate over the last century. Our study investigates likely vulnerabilities of a suite of range-restricted species whose distributions are associated with archipelago-wide climatic variation. We used present day climate maps calibrated using local weather data, 2020-2080 climate predictions from regional climate models, non-climate variables derived from a digital terrain model and a comprehensive database on local plant distributions. Weighted mean ensemble models were produced to assess changes in range sizes and overlaps between the current range and protected areas network. Target species included three globally threatened Falkland endemics, Na

SUBMITTER: Upson R 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5120834 | biostudies-literature | 2016

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature