Defining the Risk of Zika and Chikungunya Virus Transmission in Human Population Centers of the Eastern United States.

ABSTRACT: The recent spread of mosquito-transmitted viruses and associated disease to the Americas motivates a new, data-driven evaluation of risk in temperate population centers. Temperate regions are generally expected to pose low risk for significant mosquito-borne disease; however, the spread of the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) across densely populated urban areas has established a new landscape of risk. We use a model informed by field data to assess the conditions likely to facilitate local transmission of chikungunya and Zika viruses from an infected traveler to Ae. albopictus and then to other humans in USA cities with variable human densities and seasonality. Mosquito-borne disease occurs when specific combinations of conditions maximize virus-to-mosquito and mosquito-to-human co

SUBMITTER: Manore CA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5319773 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature